Bonne fete, Lenin!

April 22, 2008

The connection between what we call, in modern times, and the birthday of the monstrous man once known as Lenin is tenuous, admittedly. But not so tenuous that some people don’t remember that the first April 22nd Earth Day was put on that day to deliberately coincide with the marking of what would have been Lenin’s 100th birthday.

soviet-pollution.jpg

Because the Russians — especially during the Soviet heyday — were so environmentally friendly, after all. Not that the fact that there are, shall we say, close ties between modern rabid and modern rabid comes as much of a surprise. ;)

 

Reader Mail: DDT

March 14, 2008

Ed Darrell writes in with a response to this article, in which I remark on ’s observations that once again, the latest fad among the rich and trendy in the West (that is, environmentalism) is serving only to further oppress those who live in poverty in nations, as the craze drives the price of food through the roof world-wide.

…environmentalism seems to have become just one more playground for wealthy Westerners, a way we can wring our hands and make ourselves feel good for having done something, the same as when we banned . And yet we do not, by our actions, achieve any meaningful positive environmental impact. Indeed, the only impact we manage to achieve is that, in our selfish desire to be “green,” we further impoverish and condemn to a most terrible fate thousands or millions of people living in poorer nations. And in the end, our selfishness backfires on us as well — the same “green” fuels we might desire to use in our cars are, in fact, very difficult to produce, and the production processes far more polluting than those used to refine crude oil into petrol.

But then, that pollution happens elsewhere, and not in our back yards or on the roads upon which we drive. We do not see it, and so can safely pretend it does not exist.

But, had we listened to the “environmentalists” about DDT in 1962, and dramatically reduced its broadcast use, it would still be effective against mosquitoes that carry malaria. Rachel Carson was right about DDT — it’s a killer, especially released willy-nilly in the wild. Bald eagles were just big canaries in our mine.

If we must designate a culprit in the DDT annals, it would be those who thought we could just poison the heck out of and forget about the people there, rather than make serious efforts to fight malaria. Malaria is a complex problem, and throwing poison into the wild won’t improve the health care system, make governments stable, educate people how to look out for their own health and well being, or stimulate the economies so people can afford adequate housing to protect them from malaria-bearing mosquitoes.

Environmentalism is based in increasing our knowledge about God’s creation and where humans can and should fit in, and asking the question, “How can we be better stewards of this planet?” I think you may have given short shrift to those grander ideas.

Malaria really isn’t that complex a problem to solve — the ancient Romans knew exactly what they were doing when they dredged the swamps of Old Italy and wiped out mosquito breeding grounds on that little archipelago. In South American nations where comprehensive DDT programs were implemented, the same effects were achieved without the need to dredge swamps and destroy the natural habitats of other forms of wildlife.

The fact of the matter is, even the WHO ended its ban on DDT because the resurgence in malaria-related deaths marched in lockstep with the DDT ban in the first place. And in much the same way as Western use of biofuels is killing the poor in the Third World, the countries primarily afflicted by a resurgence in malaria (and the countries in which most malarial deaths occur as a result of the pressure by the West to ban the use of DDT) are poor, Third World countries. Western environmentalism, like every other fashionable trend, piggy-backs itself on the suffering and blood of the poor elsewhere in the world, and all so rich white folks can pump an alternative fuel into their SUV and tell themselves that they’re working to save the planet (even though that fuel cost more, in terms of pollutants released, to produce than normal petroleum does).

’s was not a scientific study or a comprehensive research paper. It was a novel, and then a fictional one. And on the merits of the picture she painted with that novel, the West rushed to ban the use of DDT world-wide, despite the fact that DDT was later demonstrated to cause none of the harmful effects it was blamed (and banned) for. It does not cause eggshell thinning in avian populations, the n () concedes that it does not pose a carcinogenic risk to human beings, and that it likewise poses no mutagenic/teratogenic danger. It does not appear to have any damaging effect on freshwater aquatic ecosystems either.

It was banned because of a work of fiction and the knee-jerk, guilt-ridden emotionalism of Western liberalism. And the poor, globally, in many Third World countries, will and have paid with their lives for that particular Western fad.

The thing is, DDT was effective — damn effective. In Venezuela, it reduced the number of cases of malaria from over eight million in 1943 to eight hundred by 1958. India and modern Italy saw similar dramatic reversals (Italy, in particular, recorded only 37 cases of malaria in 1967, down from over 400,000 roughly fifteen years earlier).

It would be nice to believe that environmentalists only want to increase our knowledge about the creation that God has made us stewards over. But the evidence on the ground tends to paint a different picture, and then not a pleasant one. may have had noble intentions at its origin, as did. But, like feminism, environmentalism has shaped itself into something much more malevolent. In the case of environmentalism, it has become a weird mash-up between those who would use it as a vehicle to advance an explicitly socialist (if not outright Marxist) political and economic agenda, and those who would use bad science to play upon the knee-jerk guilt of the modern Western liberal and by so doing enrich themselves ( would be a great example here).

David Warren spotlights a trend that I’d suspected might just be the case after all — that production of “environmentally friendly” s not only results in increased * (since the process of refining various grains into vehicle-ready fuel requires many processing stages, all of which require fossil fuels to be burned in order to drive the various processes — by comparison, refining into is a fairly clean and efficient process), but that it drives up the price of food globally, especially in already impoverished nations.

And while folks like me, living and working in , might be able to absorb a twofold or threefold increase in the cost of food, people living in nations would be crushed by similar increases. And here’s the kicker: such increases aren’t just possible or likely. They are already happening.

Even in the economically advanced West, the rise in prices has become noticeable. My observant reader will find plenty of signs in his local supermarket, where the price of products is leading an advance that must necessarily spread — for wholesale prices are outstripping retail prices in food across the board. The secondary effect of the monetary inflation this re-ignites is in itself beginning to cause economic havoc.

But we, who spend (in ) less than 15 percent of our income on food, can nevertheless survive if that proportion doubles or triples.

It is in the poorest countries of the world, where people often spend more than half their income obtaining food, that a doubling or tripling of prices is fatal. And note, the supply of food does not need to halve, in order to double prices. It only has to fall, consistently, a little behind demand.

Please don’t take my word for this. The United Nations’ and various other collectivist agencies are already becoming eloquent on the subject. In a statement to the an Parliament last week, the executive director of the explained that their own cost of obtaining food for distribution to the world’s hungry had risen by 40 percent since last June. They are not predicting a catastrophe. They are experiencing one.

seems to have become just one more playground for wealthy Westerners, a way we can wring our hands and make ourselves feel good for having “done something,” the same as when we banned . And yet we do not, by our actions, achieve any meaningful positive environmental impact. Indeed, the only impact we manage to achieve is that, in our selfish desire to be “green,” we further impoverish and condemn to a most terrible fate thousands or millions of people living in poorer nations. And in the end, our selfishness backfires on us as well — the same “green” fuels we might desire to use in our cars are, in fact, very difficult to produce, and the production processes far more polluting than those used to refine crude oil into petrol.

But then, that pollution happens elsewhere, and not in our back yards or on the roads upon which we drive. We do not see it, and so can safely pretend it does not exist.

* this seems to be a contemporary analog of the electric lawnmower fad of some years ago. While it was argued that s were more environmentaly friendly since they did not burn fuel of their own, it had to be noted that the electricity to power the mowers had to come from somewhere — which, in , meant (and still does mean) coal-fired power plants. Exactly how increased demand for coal-fired electricity was supposed to be environmentally friendly was lost on all the various neighbours we had during my formative years who swore by the “cleanliness” of their electric mowers.

But then, once again, the increased pollution happens “elsewhere,” rather than in our front yard. We can remain safely and comfortably ignorant of it, and pretend as though it does not exist.

Jim Whalley writes in, presumably in response to this article concerning a possible correlation between and reduced numbers (and diminished violence) of .

I’ve edited Jim’s message a bit, inserting paragraph breaks where it seemed appropriate. Also, in a departure from my norm, I’ll be spacing my replies in a more “interlinear” fashion, between paragraphs as it were.

The chief point appears to be that for the Eastern USA the incidence of hurricanes appears to be dropping as the Northern Atlantic grows warmer as it approaches thermal equilibrium with the tropical and equatorial water masses. What it doesn’t mention is the increase (or decrease) of hurricane (or typhoon) activity worldwide. The temperature differential between polar and equatorial is what is responsible for the winds that make up hurricanes and typhoons.

I’m going out on a limb, not having taken any studies in fluid dynamics or weather patterns, but based on what I’ve learned about things like tornados here in , the violence of the storm is proportional to the magnitude of the temperature differential. Assuming, then, that the same holds true for hurricanes, a diminished temperature differential between polar and equatorial currents would result in fewer, or less violent, hurricanes.

In other words, it seems logical to conclude that increased warming brings diminished quantities or violence of hurricanes.

The other consequence of warming polar oceans is the sea level change when the polar icecaps melt, with the catastrophic consequences for the millions of people who live within 80 - 100 feet of current sea level. The displacement of coastal populations will be felt even in the US and Canada with large portions of the Atlantic coast under 40 - 80 feet of water, and near sea level areas like the Gulf coast states or the Canadian Maritimes flooded and their resident populations displaced and homeless.

This doesn’t even begin to address the possibility of a catastrophic climate change that would turn most of equatorial Africa into desert, and kill off most of the indigenous plant and animal species in the rest of the world, due to the cascading effect of the elimination of polar icecaps and snow (which reflect a substantial portion of heat back into space).

The problem with any good debate about is that scare numbers inevitably get hauled out by proponents of the various climate change “solutions” being proposed by the likes of and the . Even assuming that the polar ice cap melted in its entirety (which would take centuries to happen, and which did not happen even when, thousands of years ago, the Earth was (in places) as much as 8 degrees warmer on average than it is now). Back then, forests crept as much as 1000 km north of their present limits, and every glacier below 5 km elevation melted.

Notable exceptions included the ice sheet and, presumably, parts of the . would have to get catastrophically warm — i.e. reach temperatures that could only be caused by the in its death throes — for all polar ice to melt.

And if I do recall correctly, although I seem to have lost the link to the calculations, even if the entire polar ice cap did melt, sea levels wouldn’t rise as far as Jim would have us think. To achieve that rise, the Antarctic ice cap would have to melt entirely as well. And is currently cooling, for the most part.

That warming period thousands of years ago also addresses Jim’s comment about equatorial becoming a desert, with the attendant mass death of most plant life. If it didn’t happen back then (and if I do recall correctly, the fossil record doesn’t show evidence of mass extinctions of plant life, or of the animals that would have thus been deprived of food, in that time period), why would it happen now? Especially since the current warming trend falls far short of the 4 to 8 degrees C that happened back then?

Secondary effects of global ocean warming, such as the blooming of toxic bacterial strains which presently live near volcanic undersea vents is possible, but presently still conjecture. If we have to find this out the hard way, it’ll be too late. It may be too late already, as we have set forces into motion which will take at least 200 years to reach a state of equilibrium if we could stop all future CO2 emissions and go back to a pre-industrial level.

Even if humanity stopped all industrial carbon emissions, the warming trend would be affected by less than one percent…less than a percent of a percent, in fact.

Almost all of the atmosphere’s ability to trap heat comes from water vapor, which we do not (and, more to the point, cannot) regulate the emission of. And most of the current warming trend has nothing to do with human industrial emissions anyhow, but with the Sun — we know this because other planets in the Solar System, such as and , have also experienced warming trends proportional (adjusting for their increased distance from the Sun) to what has been observed on Earth.

I could go on about how our judgment, ethics, and responsibility have taken a beating at the hands of ego and greed-driven , but that would take a discussion of its own to do it justice.

I think sentences like this, when they are found as a part of any environmentalist’s argument, are telling, because what such sentences reveal is that the professed environmentalism is really just a front, a cover, for a desire to see global become a reality.

If for no other reason than that, it is worthwhile to oppose and climate change alarmism. But equally, it’s worthwhile to oppose the use of scare numbers (see above) and shoddy science( see above as well, though not as distantly) in an effort to advance those causes.

Just the latest one in a growing trend. Mandatory global birth control programs is the proposal. So much for the right to choose, I suppose.

(In Soviet Russia, hat tips you: Mark Shea)